Short-Term Wind Power Prediction Based on Deviation Compensation TCN-LSTM and Step Transfer Strategy

Jifeng SONG , Xiaosheng PENG , Zimin YANG , Ruiqin DUAN , Binbin ZHOU , Kai CHEN , Youxiang WANG

›› 2023, Vol. 17 ›› Issue (12) : 71 -79.

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›› 2023, Vol. 17 ›› Issue (12) : 71 -79. DOI: 10.13648/j.cnki.issn1674-0629.2023.12.009
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Short-Term Wind Power Prediction Based on Deviation Compensation TCN-LSTM and Step Transfer Strategy

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Abstract

As the proportion of new energy in power systems gradually increases, new energy power prediction becomes a research focus. However, the power prediction of the new-built wind farm is faced with the problem of historical data insufficiency, and difficulty in feature transfer. A short-term wind power prediction approach based on the deviation compensation TCN-LSTM and step transfer strategies are proposed. First of all, the small amount of data of the target wind farm are divided into two groups according to the correlation with the source wind farm. Then the historical data of the source wind farm is used to train the hybrid model containing the error compensation module. Finally, the model is constructed with the step transfer strategy. The relevant case analysis of this paper exhibits that the prediction accuracy of the compensation step transfer learning model based on TCN-LSTM is increased by 1.23% compared to similar direct prediction models. The effectiveness of the proposed approach is proved by related cases.

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TCN-LSTM / step transfer strategy / deviation compensation / short-term wind power prediction

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Jifeng SONG,Xiaosheng PENG,Zimin YANG,Ruiqin DUAN,Binbin ZHOU,Kai CHEN,Youxiang WANG. Short-Term Wind Power Prediction Based on Deviation Compensation TCN-LSTM and Step Transfer Strategy. 2023, 17(12): 71-79 DOI:10.13648/j.cnki.issn1674-0629.2023.12.009

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the Science and Technology Project of China Southern Power Grid Co., Ltd(YNKJXM20210100)

the National Key Research and Development Program of China(2022YFB2403000)

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