基于广义多项式混沌展开的电力系统概率频率稳定性评估
作者信息
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1.香港理工大学电机及电子工程学系,香港 999077
2.国网辽宁省电力有限公司电力科学研究院,沈阳 110055
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卜思齐(1984),男,教授,博士生导师,博士,研究方向为电网稳定运行与分析、电网运维与健康管理、灵活性与市场交易、可再生能源并网、智能电网、电力交通网和物理信息系统,siqi.bu@polyu.edu.hk;
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王照远(1995),男,通信作者,助理工程师,博士,研究方向为电力系统不确定性量化、电力物理信息系统稳定性分析,zhaoyuan.wang@connect.polyu.hk。
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Probabilistic Frequency Stability Assessment of Power Systems Based on Generalized Polynomial Chaos Expansion
Author information
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1.Department of Electrical and Electronic Engineering, the Hong Kong Polytechnic University, Hong Kong 999077, China
2.Electric Power Research Institute of State Grid Liaoning Electric Power Co. , Ltd. , Shenyang 110055, China
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文章历史
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| 收稿日期 |
出版日期 |
| 2026-05-01 |
2026-09-20 |
PDF (4833K)
摘要
可再生能源的随机性与波动性给新型电力系统的频率稳定性带来极大挑战。因此,频率稳定性评估对系统的安全运行具有重要意义。当前由于缺乏准确高效的概率频率稳定性评估方法,且传统多项式混沌展开方法存在诸多缺陷,因此提出了一种基于广义多项式混沌展开概率频率稳定性评估方法。该方法基于广义多项式混沌展开,因而适用于服从任意分布的随机变量,同时采用拉丁超立方采样提高样本点的采样效率。此外,通过Cholesky分解使得所提方法能够处理存在相关性的随机变量。同时,引入双曲线截断缓解了传统多项式混沌展开方法存在的维数灾问题。采用IEEE 39节点系统以及IEEE 68节点系统进行算例分析,并与其他方法结果进行对比,验证了所提方法的高效性与准确性。
Abstract
The intermittence and fluctuation of renewable energy generation pose a huge threat to the frequency stability of modern power system. Thus, the assessment of frequency stability is of great significance to the safety operation of power system. Due to the lack of accurate and efficient probabilistic frequency stability assessment methods and the disadvantages of traditional polynomial chaos expansion methods, this paper proposes a probabilistic frequency stability assessment method based on generalized polynomial chaos expansion. Based on generalized polynomial chaos expansion, the proposed method is suitable for random variables following arbitrary distributions. Moreover, Latin hypercube sampling is applied to improve the sampling efficiency. In addition, the utilization of Cholesky decomposition enables the proposed method to handle correlated random variables. Furthermore, hyperbolic truncation is adopted to alleviate the curse of dimensionality in the traditional polynomial chaos expansion methods. The etficiency and accuracy of the proposed method are verified in the IEEE-39 bus and IEEE-68 bus systems compared with other methods.
Graphical abstract
关键词
电力系统
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广义多项式混沌展开
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不确定性量化
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频率稳定性
Key words
power system
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generalized polynomial chaos expansion
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uncertainty quantification
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frequency stability
Author summay
卜思齐(1984),男,教授,博士生导师,博士,研究方向为电网稳定运行与分析、电网运维与健康管理、灵活性与市场交易、可再生能源并网、智能电网、电力交通网和物理信息系统,siqi.bu@polyu.edu.hk;
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卜思齐,王照远.
基于广义多项式混沌展开的电力系统概率频率稳定性评估[J].
南方电网技术, 2026, 20(9): 1-12 DOI:10.13648/j.cnki.issn1674-0629.2026.09.001
Siqi BU, Zhaoyuan WANG.
Probabilistic Frequency Stability Assessment of Power Systems Based on Generalized Polynomial Chaos Expansion[J].
Southern Power System Technology, 2026, 20(9): 1-12 DOI:10.13648/j.cnki.issn1674-0629.2026.09.001
基金资助
国家自然科学基金资助项目(52077188)
香港研资局项目(15208323)
国家电网有限公司科技项目(5222LK26003K)